2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
664 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$824/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$513
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$-18/mo
Annual
$-215/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.78%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$27,412
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-215/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (3.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $82k (15.8% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($677 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#414 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Hall Hsd 502 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #549 of 919 in IL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Ladd Comm Cons Sch (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 202 students, 0% FRL); Hall High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 403 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Bureau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bureau County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $98k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6V5188AFE1VKXH
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29