3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,612 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,097/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,535
Tax + insurance
−$488
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$440
Net cashflow
$-365/mo
Annual
$-4,385/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.35%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$81,935
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-365 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (9.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (20.9% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#29 in WV, #4,057 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 389 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.7% in Martinsburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6V7XFBBD7333AR
· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29