2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
475 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 148 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,196/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,620/yr
Cap rate
13.41%
Cash-on-cash
25.41%
DSCR
2.13
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Aiken Elementary (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #315 of 597 statewide, top 55%, 524 students, 100% FRL); Schofield Middle (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #167 of 229 statewide, top 74%, 401 students, 100% FRL); Aiken High (math 19% / reading 84%, grade D+, #146 of 196 statewide, top 75%, 1,195 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 54% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 687 active listings in the ZIP; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.9% in Aiken — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear and potential damage.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: front porch
— The front porch is boarded up, indicating potential structural issues or abandonment.
Major: windows
— The windows are boarded up, indicating potential structural issues or abandonment.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6V995VDXMH9E8F
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29