2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1902
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,074/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$378
Tax + insurance
−$547
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$226
Net cashflow
$-76/mo
Annual
$-912/yr
Cap rate
12.13%
Cash-on-cash
20.86%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$20,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-912/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $59k (18.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#648 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, schools B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Morgan Local (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #420 of 656 in OH (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $72k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29