3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,544 sqft ·
Built 1893
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,356/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$432/mo
Annual
$5,188/yr
Cap rate
11.48%
Cash-on-cash
18.53%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Irving Elementary School (math 43% / reading 44%, grade F, #560 of 616 statewide, top 91%, 402 students, 92% FRL); Central Middle School (math 49% / reading 46%, grade C-, #226 of 246 statewide, top 92%, 471 students, 85% FRL); West High School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade C+, #273 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 1,652 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 58% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $39k; list at $100k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.1% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen appliances
— The kitchen appears to have outdated appliances that need to be replaced.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathrooms have outdated fixtures that need to be replaced.
Moderate: Roof
— The roof appears to be in fair condition, but there are signs of wear and tear that may need attention.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows signs of wear and tear that may need attention.
Moderate: Flooring
— The flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms shows signs of wear and tear that may need attention.
Major: Interior walls and ceilings
— The interior walls and ceilings show signs of wear and tear, with possible water damage that needs to be addressed.
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