3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,612 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$614
Tax + insurance
−$74
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$414/mo
Annual
$4,973/yr
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.18%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$32,760
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $117k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $117k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#322 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Laurens County (rural): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #42 of 174 in GA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Southwest Laurens Elementary (math 50% / reading 37%, grade F, #364 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 1,005 students, 85% FRL); West Laurens Middle School (math 48% / reading 48%, grade C-, #80 of 470 statewide, top 17%, 927 students, 85% FRL); West Laurens High School (math 41% / reading 28%, grade F, #88 of 424 statewide, top 22%, 1,271 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 55 units permitted in Laurens County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laurens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.2% in Dublin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6W21NHBFYCQBXD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29