2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
360 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 216 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$697/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$146
Net cashflow
$248/mo
Annual
$2,979/yr
Cap rate
12.91%
Cash-on-cash
23.64%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($697 rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $932 of equity ($311 loan paydown + $621 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#666 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Shamrock ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #811 of 1,141 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Shamrock El (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 176 students, 69% FRL); Shamrock Middle (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,279 of 1,662 statewide, top 78%, 73 students, 64% FRL); Shamrock H S (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 111 students, 67% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP.
Wheeler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed plumbing in kitchen and bathrooms
— Structural damage
Major: Missing cabinet doors in kitchen and bathrooms
— Aesthetic and functionality
Major: Peeling paint throughout
— Safety hazard and aesthetic appeal
Major: Exposed ductwork in HVAC
— Safety hazard and functionality
Major: Overgrown lawn and bare trees
— Safety hazard and aesthetic appeal
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29