3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,477/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,235
Tax + insurance
−$710
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$520
Net cashflow
$-989/mo
Annual
$-11,863/yr
Cap rate
3.51%
Cash-on-cash
-9.94%
DSCR
0.56
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$119,345
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-989 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#358 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 639345.7% of price.
Market conditions: 392 active listings in the ZIP; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 2.9% in Ham Lake — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6WS05P5DZP55YB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29