2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
852 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,651/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$544
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$77/mo
Annual
$924/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.67%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($924/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#191 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Campfield Early Childhood Center (352 students, 62% FRL); Pikesville Middle (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #125 of 225 statewide, top 58%, 967 students, 56% FRL); Pikesville High (math 17% / reading 66%, grade F, #128 of 222 statewide, top 57%, 895 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 39% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask is 6567% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $49k; list at $90k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in Pikesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6X1WBDCRNX31T6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29