2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-161/mo
Annual
$-1,929/yr
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.60%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-161 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (15.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (26.1% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Kalkaska Public Schools (town): math 24% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #356 of 540 in MI (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Birch Street Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 354 students, 72% FRL); Kalkaska Middle School (math 19% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 493 statewide, top 73%, 304 students, 66% FRL); Kalkaska High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 449 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Kalkaska County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kalkaska County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $150k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6X7YNK19T7Z28V
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29