3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,570 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Coming Soon
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,036/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$675/mo
Annual
$8,104/yr
Cap rate
12.30%
Cash-on-cash
21.44%
DSCR
1.95
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#103 in MD, #3,957 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Carroll County Public Schools (suburban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #2 of 24 in MD (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Sandymount Elementary (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #141 of 860 statewide, top 17%, 567 students, 24% FRL); Shiloh Middle (math 22% / reading 50%, grade F, #40 of 225 statewide, top 18%, 604 students, 25% FRL); Westminster High (math 73% / reading 78%, grade A-, #25 of 222 statewide, top 11%, 1,517 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 59% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.2% in Eldersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6XBR1P0VZ68MQ3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29