2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
792 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,366/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$70
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$800/mo
Annual
$9,598/yr
Cap rate
30.35%
Cash-on-cash
85.91%
DSCR
4.82
1% rule
3.42%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $800 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Great Falls Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 348 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $40k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 30.3% vs local median 7.0% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— The siding appears to be peeling and in poor condition.
Major: roof
— The roof shows signs of discoloration and potential wear.
Major: landscaping
— The yard is overgrown and requires significant trimming and maintenance.
Major: fencing
— No fencing is visible, which may be a safety or privacy concern. A fence should be installed to address this issue.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6XJHNVC21ZJHZ4
· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29