4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,903 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,517/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$1,580
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,789
Net cashflow
$435/mo
Annual
$5,215/yr
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.07%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $899k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $852k (5.3% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($872k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $852k (5.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Weston School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #4 of 153 in CT (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 1% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hurlbutt Elementary School (473 students, 1% FRL); Weston High School (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A, #1 of 194 statewide, top 1%, 722 students, 1% FRL) — zoned schools at 1% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 72% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Weston School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.1% in Weston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6XQAZ53WCQAB45
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29