2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
848 sqft ·
Built 1893
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$251
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$401/mo
Annual
$4,813/yr
Cap rate
16.34%
Cash-on-cash
35.89%
DSCR
2.60
1% rule
1.99%
Cash to close
$13,412
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $331 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#406 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Knoxville Community School District (town): math 62% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #220 of 289 in IA (top 76%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: West Elementary (465 students, 47% FRL); Knoxville Middle School (math 68% / reading 67%, grade A-, #133 of 246 statewide, top 56%, 368 students, 50% FRL); Knoxville High School (math 60% / reading 69%, grade B-, #211 of 336 statewide, top 70%, 500 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 122 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 2.4% in Knoxville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6Y23AZAVDADV59
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29