1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Condo
· Pending
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,203/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$665
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$673
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-205/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.59%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-205/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $357k (0.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (10.8% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $320k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#436 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
Oyster Bay-East Norwich Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #120 of 590 in NY (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Theodore Roosevelt School (325 students, 19% FRL); Oyster Bay Middle School (217 students, 19% FRL); Oyster Bay High School (math 63% / reading 68%, grade B, #773 of 1,100 statewide, top 70%, 415 students, 23% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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