3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,809/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,486
Tax + insurance
−$472
HOA
−$43
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$-572/mo
Annual
$-6,864/yr
Cap rate
3.87%
Cash-on-cash
-8.65%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$79,344
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $283k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-572 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (29.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (36.2% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#54 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lynn Fanning Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 772 students, 39% FRL); Meridianville Middle School (math 19% / reading 62%, grade F, #56 of 257 statewide, top 22%, 724 students, 45% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL).
Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6Z36AB9VER1NF7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29