2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,172 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 526 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,094/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$439
Tax + insurance
−$52
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$373/mo
Annual
$4,477/yr
Cap rate
11.64%
Cash-on-cash
19.09%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$23,449
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
It's been on market 526 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $579 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#413 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, schools F.
Calhoun County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $84k implies a 319% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.4% in Saks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 526 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6ZK1F31TF4ADTS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29