2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$998/mo
Annual
$11,974/yr
Cap rate
18.27%
Cash-on-cash
42.79%
DSCR
2.90
1% rule
2.03%
Cash to close
$27,986
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $998 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,095 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Amador County Unified (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #330 of 517 in CA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Amador County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Amador County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6ZQ88K5S3SAJ7C
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29