3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,296/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$482
Net cashflow
$656/mo
Annual
$7,873/yr
Cap rate
10.67%
Cash-on-cash
15.63%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#680 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Kingston (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #70 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kingston Es (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 845 statewide, top 25%, 620 students, 0% FRL); Kingston Hs (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 362 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 435 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $180k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-70758N3S8429MR
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29