3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,576 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 601 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,427/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,601
Tax + insurance
−$509
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$510
Net cashflow
$-192/mo
Annual
$-2,304/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.70%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$85,464
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $292k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-192 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (5.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 601 days — a 12% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $243k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#222 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Gull Lake Community Schools (suburban): math 40% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #93 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Thomas M Ryan Intermediate School (math 42% / reading 60%, grade C-, #362 of 1,397 statewide, top 26%, 655 students, 32% FRL); Gull Lake Middle School (math 39% / reading 57%, grade C-, #138 of 493 statewide, top 28%, 691 students, 28% FRL); Gull Lake High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #109 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 850 students, 25% FRL).
Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 36d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 601 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29