2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
812 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,353/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$543
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$32/mo
Annual
$387/yr
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($387/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#50 in MN, #1,308 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F.
Osseo Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #129 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Park Brook Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #703 of 857 statewide, top 84%, 293 students, 83% FRL); North View Middle School (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #238 of 258 statewide, top 92%, 406 students, 84% FRL); Osseo Senior High (math 26% / reading 58%, grade F, #222 of 471 statewide, top 50%, 2,280 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 32% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Osseo Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.0% in Brooklyn Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-70XRMR6HX1NGNG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29