2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Manufactured
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$183/mo
Annual
$2,195/yr
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.41%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#298 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D, commute F.
Brownfield ISD (town): math 26% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #704 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Brownfield Middle (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 354 students, 83% FRL); Brownfield H S (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 443 students, 78% FRL).
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Terry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Terry County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— Worn and outdated
Major: kitchen countertops
— Worn and outdated
Major: kitchen appliances
— Outdated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Small and outdated
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and lack of landscaping
CashFlowRE · CFR-70YA783VNCAEB2
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29