4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,153 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,344/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$364
HOA
−$41
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$492
Net cashflow
$320/mo
Annual
$3,842/yr
Cap rate
8.08%
Cash-on-cash
6.39%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$60,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in OK, #2,383 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F.
Deer Creek (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #4 of 270 in OK (top 2%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Prairie Vale Es (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #18 of 845 statewide, top 2%, 516 students, 0% FRL); Deer Creek Ms (math 35% / reading 43%, grade F, #10 of 345 statewide, top 3%, 1,179 students, 0% FRL); Deer Creek Hs (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D-, #13 of 447 statewide, top 3%, 2,036 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 647 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.4% in Edmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-715E97F5ZZ9JW8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29