3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Land
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,015/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$304
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$213
Net cashflow
$402/mo
Annual
$4,824/yr
Cap rate
14.62%
Cash-on-cash
29.75%
DSCR
2.32
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$16,212
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $58k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $400 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D-.
Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Vaile Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #814 of 994 statewide, top 83%, 304 students, 92% FRL); Test Intermediate School (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #276 of 330 statewide, top 84%, 762 students, 75% FRL); Richmond High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 1,332 students, 66% FRL).
Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
36 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 132% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-717QRH1E0GDG0V
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29