1 bd · None ba ·
1,580 sqft ·
Built 1850
· Townhouse
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,818/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$55/mo
Annual
$661/yr
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.18%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/?-bath townhouse listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($661/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Signs of wear and tear.
Minor: Bathroom tiles
— Some discoloration and grime visible.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored, needs repainting.
Minor: Interior walls
— Paint chipped in some areas, needs touch-up paint.
CashFlowRE · CFR-71KHZAEGM38YXF
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29