3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,632 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,569/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$329
Net cashflow
$799/mo
Annual
$9,589/yr
Cap rate
20.40%
Cash-on-cash
50.36%
DSCR
3.24
1% rule
2.31%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $799 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#557 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Colquitt County (town): math 29% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 174 in GA (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Funston Elementary School (math 42% / reading 27%, grade F, #531 of 1,228 statewide, top 45%, 386 students, 97% FRL); Willie J. Williams Middle School (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,369 students, 85% FRL); Colquitt County High School (math 50% / reading 18%, grade F, #98 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 1,787 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 67% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Colquitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Colquitt County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $58k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-727S1SED7XS4N7
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29