3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,226/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$39
Tax + insurance
−$12
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$916/mo
Annual
$10,996/yr
Cap rate
152.91%
Cash-on-cash
523.62%
DSCR
24.30
1% rule
16.34%
Cash to close
$2,100
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $8k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $916 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $52 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $164 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#517 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Cairo USD 1 (town): math 2% / reading 2% proficiency, ranked #620 of 620 in IL (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Alexander County population projected at -53% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-72A7263S109XK3
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29