4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,630 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$318
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$161/mo
Annual
$1,927/yr
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.15%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#131 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Adams-Cheshire (rural): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #285 of 302 in MA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hoosac Valley Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #577 of 938 statewide, top 65%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Hoosac Valley Middle School (math 8% / reading 28%, grade F, #264 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 288 students, 0% FRL); Hoosac Valley High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #270 of 343 statewide, top 80%, 324 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 36% district-wide (36 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $180k implies a 414% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.7% in Adams — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-72ANK09PFJTR5D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29