2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
969 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Townhouse
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,333/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$16/mo
Annual
$196/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.47%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($196/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.1% below list).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Richardson ISD (urban): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #316 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Math/Science/Tech Magnet (math 60% / reading 55%, grade C+, #492 of 4,322 statewide, top 12%, 601 students, 51% FRL); Westwood Math Science Leadership Magnet (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #479 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 651 students, 60% FRL); Richardson H S (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 2,773 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 59d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-72GDB53VQBDQFC
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29