3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,636 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,940/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$329
HOA
−$372
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$827
Net cashflow
$320/mo
Annual
$3,840/yr
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.44%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $394k (1.2% below list).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($375k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $375k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#44 in GA, #4,976 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
Pickens County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #59 of 174 in GA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 713 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 260 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $230k; list at $399k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-72TY9Y6533EJB2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29