1109 W Elm St

Breckenridge, TX 76424

$59,000B

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,936 sqft · Built 1936 · SingleFamily · Active · 116 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,500/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$309
• Tax + insurance: −$146
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$315
• Net cashflow: $730/mo
• Annual: $8,758/yr
• Cap rate: 21.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 53.02%
• DSCR: 3.36
• 1% rule: 2.54%
• Cash to close: $16,520

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $730 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
• It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#695 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
• Breckenridge ISD (town): math 36% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #551 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: East El (404 students, 78% FRL); Breckenridge J H (math 38% / reading 31%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 300 students, 71% FRL); Breckenridge H S (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 424 students, 58% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Stephens County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.7% in Breckenridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.