2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,122 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 337 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,131/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$197
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$568/mo
Annual
$6,814/yr
Cap rate
24.46%
Cash-on-cash
64.89%
DSCR
3.89
1% rule
3.01%
Cash to close
$10,500
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($259 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Avella Area SD (rural): math 37% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #198 of 539 in PA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (53%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-738Y2M57NRJYHT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29