4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,946 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Active
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,999/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,447
Tax + insurance
−$460
HOA
−$30
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$-358/mo
Annual
$-4,297/yr
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.56%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$77,277
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $276k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-358 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (18.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (27.6% below list).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#352 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pageland Elementary (math 21% / reading 19%, grade F, #492 of 597 statewide, top 83%, 324 students, 100% FRL); New Heights Middle (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #191 of 229 statewide, top 85%, 531 students, 100% FRL); Central High (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #151 of 196 statewide, top 79%, 644 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-73BQ3H16ZV6W0Y
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29