24 bd · 20.0 ba ·
3,288 sqft ·
Built 1968
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,877/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$774
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,234
Net cashflow
$2,406/mo
Annual
$28,872/yr
Cap rate
16.64%
Cash-on-cash
36.96%
DSCR
2.64
1% rule
2.11%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 4 × 6-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $601/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $279k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#338 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Elmira Heights Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #496 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-73ET5K6QCBXTEC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29