1 bd · 1.5 ba ·
730 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Townhouse
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$858/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$34
HOA
−$285
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$159/mo
Annual
$1,910/yr
Cap rate
11.32%
Cash-on-cash
17.95%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
2.26%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($858 rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#647 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, cost of living D+.
Lake Placid Central School District (town): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #344 of 590 in NY (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 1.9% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-73GGJKD8ECRM9S
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29