4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
4,446 sqft ·
Built 1882
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,646/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,413
Tax + insurance
−$449
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$-562/mo
Annual
$-6,745/yr
Cap rate
3.79%
Cash-on-cash
-8.94%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$75,460
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-562 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (30.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (38.9% below list).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (38.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Hamlin School District 28-3 (rural): math 55% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 59 in SD (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hamlin Elementary - 09 (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #56 of 253 statewide, top 29%, 451 students, 35% FRL); Hamlin Middle School - 02 (math 47% / reading 42%, grade D, #75 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 186 students, 30% FRL); Hamlin High School - 01 (math 54% / reading 64%, grade C+, #31 of 151 statewide, top 32%, 233 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1882 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Hamlin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamlin County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $109k; list at $270k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1882 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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