3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,032 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,851/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$318
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$389
Net cashflow
$96/mo
Annual
$1,154/yr
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.06%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (7.4% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: schools D+.
Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $200k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-74JDF87CY7V4P3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29