3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$380
Tax + insurance
−$490
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$117/mo
Annual
$1,410/yr
Cap rate
15.30%
Cash-on-cash
32.16%
DSCR
2.43
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$20,300
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#39 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gillis Elementary School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #247 of 646 statewide, top 39%, 691 students, 50% FRL); Moss Bluff Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #75 of 218 statewide, top 35%, 883 students, 41% FRL); Sam Houston High School (math 46% / reading 54%, grade D+, #36 of 265 statewide, top 13%, 1,216 students, 36% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $55k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 3.5% in Moss Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-75Z6CA48S8XB8N
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29