1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,080/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$206/mo
Annual
$2,470/yr
Cap rate
8.79%
Cash-on-cash
8.91%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#289 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
Falls City SD 57 (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #180 of 183 in OR (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $99k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-760WKM70327291
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29