4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,307 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,313/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$149
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$259/mo
Annual
$3,112/yr
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.27%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,543 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
Manistee Area Public Schools (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #284 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Thomas Jefferson Elem School (259 students, 62% FRL); John F Kennedy Elem School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 279 students, 60% FRL); Manistee Middle High School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #334 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 687 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Manistee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Manistee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
21 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $62k; list at $120k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.0% in Manistee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-762FY55XCZAJZB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29