4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,071 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Condo
· Pending
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,345/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$254
HOA
−$205
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$492
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-839/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.07%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-839/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#8 in VA, #215 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: cost of living C-, housing C-.
Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $119k; list at $279k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in Blacksburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-764RMA6M3QMC1Y
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29