4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,980/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,348
Tax + insurance
−$378
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$416
Net cashflow
$-162/mo
Annual
$-1,940/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.70%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$71,960
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $257k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (11.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (23.0% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $198k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 91/100 on livability (#5 in MI, #61 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
Marquette Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #106 of 540 in MI (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Marquette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marquette County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 1.7% in Marquette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-76ANHW4H209MH7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29