4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,640 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,140/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,898
Tax + insurance
−$460
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,079
Net cashflow
$1,702/mo
Annual
$20,426/yr
Cap rate
11.94%
Cash-on-cash
20.15%
DSCR
1.90
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$101,346
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $362k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $851/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $362k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $351k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 44 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $5,140/mo this rent would consume 127% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 787% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-76BWNK5XA57SN3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29