4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,983 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,592/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$537
Tax + insurance
−$576
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$144/mo
Annual
$1,726/yr
Cap rate
12.97%
Cash-on-cash
23.85%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$28,694
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $709 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#395 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Terrebonne Parish (other): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 300 units permitted in Terrebonne Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 0.9% in Dulac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-76DSMB3KZJB8NR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29