2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,148 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$986/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$430
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$255/mo
Annual
$3,056/yr
Cap rate
10.02%
Cash-on-cash
13.31%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$22,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#548 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Randolph Central School Corporation (town): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #201 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Deerfield Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #279 of 994 statewide, top 30%, 154 students, 65% FRL); Lee L Driver Middle School (math 27% / reading 33%, grade F, #208 of 330 statewide, top 64%, 291 students, 56% FRL); Winchester Community High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #295 of 369 statewide, top 82%, 414 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-772DMBCN42JN8P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29