30 bd · None ba ·
6,076 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 160 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,206/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,933
Net cashflow
$5,615/mo
Annual
$67,382/yr
Cap rate
33.26%
Cash-on-cash
96.30%
DSCR
5.28
1% rule
3.68%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($67k/yr) — positive. Per door: $936/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $94k; list at $250k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 33.3% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,206/mo this rent would consume 352% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-77HFCJACC5Q147
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29