2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,115 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,592/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$783
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$-261/mo
Annual
$-3,129/yr
Cap rate
3.16%
Cash-on-cash
-11.18%
DSCR
0.50
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $54k (46.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (46.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#33 in MN, #1,041 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Robbinsdale Public School District (suburban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #250 of 301 in MN (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northport Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #722 of 857 statewide, top 85%, 483 students, 86% FRL); Robbinsdale Middle (math 8% / reading 33%, grade F, #232 of 258 statewide, top 90%, 632 students, 77% FRL); Robbinsdale Cooper Senior High (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #369 of 471 statewide, top 79%, 1,630 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 41% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
13 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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