2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 198 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$842/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$197
Tax + insurance
−$22
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$446/mo
Annual
$5,353/yr
Cap rate
20.57%
Cash-on-cash
50.98%
DSCR
3.27
1% rule
2.25%
Cash to close
$10,500
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#335 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Cordell (town): math 37% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #33 of 270 in OK (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cordell Es (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 358 students, 0% FRL); Cordell Hs (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 104 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Washita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washita County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $5k; list at $38k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 6.6% in New Cordell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-793J51B1FX7WC4
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29