4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,247 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,126/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$556
HOA
−$9
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$656
Net cashflow
$331/mo
Annual
$3,978/yr
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.53%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#64 in MI, #1,364 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, health & safety F.
Farmington Public School District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #78 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wood Creek Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 401 students, 43% FRL); Warner Middle School (math 37% / reading 56%, grade D+, #150 of 493 statewide, top 31%, 571 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 19% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Farmington Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $222k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.4% in Farmington Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-79QK3Z8RGRQTS3
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29