4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,550 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,319/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$159
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$487
Net cashflow
$311/mo
Annual
$3,728/yr
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.12%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$72,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (10.8% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $232k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $225k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,319/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1232% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7A01TZ77G6JZWE
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29